Maryland leans toward historic embrace of same-sex marriage in vote next month

By , and Peyton Craighill,

Maryland voters are leaning toward legalizing same-sex marriage next month, something that has never happened at the ballot box anywhere in the nation, a new Washington Post poll finds.

A ballot question on whether to uphold a state law allowing gay nuptials is favored 52 percent to 43 percent among likely voters, according to the poll, reflecting a long-term trend toward greater acceptance of gay unions that has included President Obamafs backing this year.

Read the full Washington Post poll results.

Same-sex marriage has become legal in six states and the District through legislative or court action. But it has never been authorized by a popular vote.

Voters in Maine and Washington state will also be presented with the issue Nov. 6 — the first time since 2009 that any state has been asked whether to legalize same-sex marriage.

Although the measures are leading in polls in all three states, the election results are hardly a given. Historically, opposition to same-sex marriage at the ballot box has been stronger than polls suggested, and an expected ad blitz from opponents in Maryland has barely begun.

On Question 6 in Maryland, voters will decide whether to uphold a law championed by Gov. Martin OfMalley (D) that won narrow legislative approval this year and was swiftly petitioned to referendum by opponents.

The Post poll finds sharp differences in support for Question 6 by race, region, age and political party.

Both sides in Maryland have been heavily targeting African American voters in a state where blacks make up a larger percentage of the electorate than anywhere outside the Deep South.

Proponents have featured ministers and civil rights leaders in their ads. Opponents have networked for months through black churches.

In The Post poll, white voters break in favor of gay nuptials, 56 percent to 39 percent.

But African Americans — who had become more supportive in national polls this year — tilt against the measure. In the new survey, 42 percent of black voters support the measure, and 53 percent oppose it.

Among Democrats, the racial divide is even more stark. While 76 percent of white Democrats back Question 6, support is 40 percent among black Democrats. Republicans in the state oppose the measure by 2 to 1, while independents support it 2 to 1.

Across the state, support is highest in Montgomery County, where 65 percent of likely voters back the measure and 31 percent oppose it.

Poll results flip in Prince Georgefs County, where 43 percent are in favor and 54 percent are opposed to it. Voters in Baltimore City and Baltimore County tilt in favor, as do those in Anne Arundel and Howard counties. Those in the more rural rest of the state are evenly split on the question.

Leprenia Lindsay, 43, is among the minority in Prince Georgefs County.

gI think given the day and time we live in, and the progression of how society has changed, I would support same-sex marriage,h said Lindsay, an African American who lives in Temple Hills. gIf someone is your life partner, that person should be able to assist in making life-and-death decisions; it shouldnft be up to some family member you havenft seen in 20 years.h

Lindsay said her views began to evolve on the topic in the late 1990s when she returned to the Washington area shortly after college and took an entry-level job at Banana Republic. At an employee orientation she began reading about domestic partnership benefits.

gI thought, eOh my God, times are changing,f h she recalled Wednesday.

Lindsay said that even as she has come to accept gay marriage, her 15-year-old son has developed an opposition to it. gHe is very accepting of people with alternative lifestyles, but doesnft believe they should be able to get married,h she said.

Thatfs a view common to a generation of older churchgoers in Maryland, the poll found.

gThe Bible says therefs only one marriage, the covenant between a man and a woman,h said Melissa Smith, a retired elementary school principal who lives in Laurel. gThey should have their beneficiaries; their families shouldnft be able to ban them from each otherfs deathbeds, but I donft think they need to be married in order to have that.h

Smith, 61, said her views are driven by her faith and remain unchanged even though her late twin brother was openly gay. gHe has nothing to do with my views,h she said. gThis is about what the Bible says.h

Religion plays a big role in votersf views on the matter, The Post poll found. Among opponents of same-sex marriage, two-thirds say their religious beliefs and opinions are the chief influence on their views.

Supporters cite more varied motivations, including personal and educational experiences, and family and friends. Just 9 percent say religion is the biggest influence on their views.

Age also plays a big factor in Marylandersf views of same-sex marriage. Sixty-four percent of those 18 to 39 support Question 6. That drops to 51 percent of those ages 40 to 64, and 40 percent of those 65 and older.

Laura Bacon, 30, is among the nearly two-thirds of Maryland voters 18 to 39 who say they will support same-sex marriage.

gItfs a view Ifve held from a pretty young age. I had several friends who were gay and always believed itfs the next step,h she said.

Bacon graduated from the University of Maryland in 2004 and is now a stay-at-home mother in a conservative enclave of Catonsville, in Baltimore County. She said she doesnft discuss the issue much with her neighbors but has volunteered to work Thursday at a phone bank for proponents.

gIfm pretty sure it will pass,h she said.

The telephone poll was conducted Oct. 11-15 among a random sample of 1,106 Maryland adults. Interviews were conducted on conventional land-line and cellular telephones, and in English and Spanish.

The sample of 934 registered voters and 843 likely voters each have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points.

Rachel Karas, Jon Cohen and Scott Clement contributed to this report.

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